Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027?
Mini
7
Ṁ1132027
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Reputable reports include SAMHSA's National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), but I reserve the right to reference estimates from a report of similar stature.
In particular, I'll reference estimated overall prevalence of a past-year major depressive episode among adolescents aged 12 to 17, as the NSDUH does.
Such an estimate would have to be publicly reported before this market closes (that is, data on 2026 rates of depression won't be considered unless the report is posted before 2027).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?
60% chance
What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?
Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
59% chance
😵Which states in the USA will have a higher suicide rate in five years? (2024-2029)
Will fewer people use ketamine as an antidepressant in 2024 than in 2023?
39% chance
Will more than 1 in 5 US adults use marijuana in a typical month of 2030?
34% chance
Will a quarter of Americans be generally unhappy before 2030?
48% chance
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
72% chance
Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?
22% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
24% chance