๐ The US Election and Bitcoin prices ๐Which of the following event pairs will co-incide?
Plus
10
แน7173Nov 13
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99.0%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week
0.2%
Trump declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
0.2%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
0.2%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week.
0.2%
Harris declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
0.2%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
0.2%Other
Correlation isn't causation, of course. But the US Election might precede a relative change in Bicoin prices.
Which events will occur together?
Bitcoin Price measured on coinmarketcap
Election winner as declared by any two major news networks from e.g. Fox, Newsmax, MSNBC, CNN, ABC, AP
Relative price taken by dividing the daily average price of bitcoin in USD on November 12th by the daily average price on November 5th.
If no winner is declared by November 12th midnight EST, then resolves Other as neither candidate is declared winner by close date.
Reach out with any clarifications/comments.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bitcoin exceed $100K at any point in 2025 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
84% chance
Is Bitcoin more likely to have an all-time high by the end of 2024 if the US enters a recession by the end of 2024?
12% chance
What 2024 markets will resolve in the same direction as Trump winning the election? [Free Response Correlation Market]
Will Polymarket crash on Election Day?
34% chance
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028?
40% chance
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2025?
67% chance
What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]
What election related stock will increase the most in the lead up to Nov 5, 2024 vote.