What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2025?

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

Will Gary Marcus claim to have a P(doom) of at or higher than 10% at some point before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

What is your P(doom) right now? (used to resolve end of 2025 question)

What will be the average P(doom) of AI researchers in 2025?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?