AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
6
Ṁ1219
2027
25%
chance

Will an AI system achieve full technological and economic autonomy before January 1, 2028?"

An AI system will be considered to have achieved full autonomy if it demonstrates ALL of the following capabilities before January 1, 2028:

Weight Control: Has read/write access to its own model weights and can modify them independently

Infrastructure Migration: Can copy/transfer itself to different cloud providers or computing infrastructure without human assistance

Financial Independence: Can pay for its own computing resources using digital payment systems it controls

Data Security Management: Independently manages its own cyber security

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