MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?
3
Ṁ488
2036
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Like Belarushttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belarusian_Democratic_Republic

️ PoliticsWorld🇨🇳 ChinaGeopoliticsElections: World
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
91% chance
Will Taiwan/ROC lose a 'diplomatic ally' in 2025?
50% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
52% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
9% chance
China militarily attacks Taiwan by EOY2025?
5% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
52% chance
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
10% chance
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
19% chance

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
9% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
91% chance
China militarily attacks Taiwan by EOY2025?
5% chance
Will Taiwan/ROC lose a 'diplomatic ally' in 2025?
50% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
52% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
52% chance
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
10% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
10% chance
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
19% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout