
Will any of the 2016 Pareto Fellows end up with a MacArthur Fellowship by EOY 2040?
Mini
0
2040
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more MacArthur Fellows in 2025 than in 2024?
62% chance
Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?
70% chance
Will anyone from the Summer Program for Applied Rationality (SPARC) program win a Thiel Fellowship by 2026?
81% chance
Will someone from FutureHouseSF win a Nobel prize by EOY 2037?
27% chance
Will any Edge Esmeralda fellow become Thiel Fellow by EOY2028?
48% chance
Will anyone from https://www.livetheresidency.com/ win the Thiel Fellowship in 2026?
64% chance
Will any of the Atlas Fellows have a family/babies by EOY 2027?
90% chance
Will someone from the hacker house calculus.house win a thiel fellowship by EOY2027?
45% chance
Will ANYONE from the Ed boyden lab win nobel prize by EOY 2033
37% chance
Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?
6% chance