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Will the ratio of inference runs to training runs on GPT5 decrease from the ratio on GPT4?
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Jan 1
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Related questions

What will the aggregate improvement of GPT5 be over GPT4 in terms of metrics?
157
How much compute will be used to train GPT-5?
GPT-5 plus scaffolding and inference-compute ~= training compute will achieve capabilities advance >= (GPT-4 to GPT-5).
79% chance
What will be true about GPT-5?
Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?
79% chance
Will GPT5 show clear signs of diminishing returns?
59% chance
Will GPT-5 be released incrementally as GPT4.x for different checkpoints from the training run?
5% chance
Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-5-like?
55% chance
Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-6-like?
60% chance
Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)
20% chance
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