MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will a major lab officially declare AGI before the end of 2025?
15
Ṁ754
Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Major lab tbd

AI️ TechnologyOpenAITechnical AI TimelinesGPT-5 Speculation
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
34% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
58% chance
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
14% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
26% chance

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
34% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
58% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
14% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
26% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout