Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2024 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?
Mini
8
Ṁ272Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the generic market creation leaderboard at market close. If a user does not have a Twitter account, that counts as a "no" for resolution purposes.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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