Will the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt (Tylototriton gaowangjienensis) become Extinct by 2100?
3
Ṁ2672099
68%
chance
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt, a newly discovered species that is Not Evaluated on the IUCN Red List. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt persists.
For more information about the species, see:
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