Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
19
Ṁ22982031
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The "major companies" refers specifically to Alcor, Cryonics Institute, and Tomorrow Bio.
Some combination would mean if that, say, Alcor accidentally thawed one and Tomorrow Bio accidentally thawed one, that would satisfy the "at least two" criterion.
Resolves a year and a day after 2030.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?
39% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
21% chance
Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
36% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
52% chance
[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
26% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?
34% chance
Will the first person have been successfully revived from cryonics by... ?
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?
35% chance
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
33% chance