MANIFOLD
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US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
14
Ṁ570
2031
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:

Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.

Entertainment and Pop CultureTaylor SwiftTravis KelceFertility
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Related questions

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2026?
34% chance
If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate?
27% chance
Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029?
76% chance
Will Taylor Swift still be relevant in 2030?
86% chance
Will Taylor Swift have a child?
77% chance
Will Taylor Swift get married by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have a child together confirmed publicly before the end of 2030?
80% chance
Will Taylor Swift have a child with Kelce before the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will Taylor Swift get married by the end of 2025
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When will Taylor Swift have her first child?
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