Following Donald Trump's recent victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, speculation arises about whether Jair Bolsonaro, former President of Brazil, will attend the inauguration in January 2025. Bolsonaro has previously expressed intentions to attend such an event, stating, "Estarei na posse do Trump" ("I will be at Trump's inauguration").

However, Bolsonaro's current legal situation may impede his travel plans. His passport was confiscated by order of Minister Alexandre de Moraes of the Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) amid investigations into alleged coup attempts and irregularities involving gifts received during his presidency. In October 2024, the STF's First Panel upheld the decision to retain Bolsonaro's passport, effectively restricting his international travel.

This market resolves to "Yes" if credible sources confirm Bolsonaro's physical attendance at Trump's inauguration.

Resolution Criteria:

Resolves to "Yes" if Bolsonaro is confirmed to attend in person.

Resolves to "No" if he does not attend for any reason, including legal restrictions or personal choice.