MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
โž•
Plus
47
แน€5445
2030
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030. Landing will count as a success if the rocket does not explode on impact, and the majority of the payload is in tact.

SpaceSpaceXRockets
Get แน€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?
-20% 1d30% chance
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
11% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
16% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
12% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
2% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
17% chance

Related questions

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?
30% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
12% chance
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
11% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
9% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
16% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
2% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
1% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
17% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout