MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
4
Ṁ155
2030

Invalid contract

Resolves to the year the first at-fault Waymo death occurs. The Waymo must be at least 50% at-fault or greater for this to resolve. This includes any death directly caused by the Waymo. I will try to use official determinations of fault, but if those are not available, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine who was most to blame. I won't trade in this market.

Self-Driving VehiclesAutomotive
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
47% chance
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
How many paid Waymo rides per week at the end of 2025?
When will waymo first be available in New York City
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
3% chance
Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
12% chance
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
9% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
68% chance
When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?

Related questions

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
47% chance
Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
12% chance
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
How many paid Waymo rides per week at the end of 2025?
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
9% chance
When will waymo first be available in New York City
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
68% chance
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
3% chance
When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout