Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?

Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?

Will a NATO or EU nation declare a national emergency due to AI before 2026?

Will any nation's military budget be used to train an AI system that consistently beats GPT-4's SAT scores by 2026?

Will any AI compute cluster/platform based on the sea be bombarded or otherwise destroyed on purpose before 2030?

If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?

When will humans intentionally destroy an AI data center first?

Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?

Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?

Will there be evidence of war crimes by NATO member states counterfactually due to AI by 2030?