Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?
Mini
9
Ṁ3102026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I am counting battery powered electric vehicles only, not plug in hybrids.
Resolves yes if sales of battery powered vehicles make up >50.0% of new vehicle registrations in Japan, Canada, Germany, Italy, USA, UK or France, in any calendar year (i.e 2023, 2024, 2025 or 2026).
Data sources vary by country, I will decide if a source is credible but open to argument.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Which country will have the most Electric Vehicles (EVs) at the end of 2026?
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
46% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
41% chance
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
76% chance
What will be the total number of electric vehicles sold globally in 2025?
23m
When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?
2037
Will electric vehicles make up more than 25% of new US car sales by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
67% chance
Will Battery Electric cars outsell Internal Combustion Engines in Great Britain before May 2025?
1% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
70% chance