MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
At the beginning of 2040, will I have watched somebody die?
Mini
8
Ṁ223
2040
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Inspired by https://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1705743497859318097.

Only counts me watching in person, not via camera.

Death markets
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will I be alive at the end of 2025?
99% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
74% chance
Will I still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
91% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2090?
32% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
81% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2030?
96% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
22% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2080?
44% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
2% chance

Related questions

Will I be alive at the end of 2025?
99% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
81% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2030?
96% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
74% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
22% chance
Will I still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
91% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2080?
44% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2090?
32% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
2% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout