Will any country implement "Universal Basic Compute" before 2030?
Will any country implement "Universal Basic Compute" before 2030?
Mini
6
Ṁ256
2030
12%
chance

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly mentioned the idea of "Universal Basic Compute" or a "basic compute budget" which individuals can use, resell, or donate. For one example, see the following article: OpenAI's Sam Altman has a new idea for a universal basic income

This question concerns the implementation of such a program by any national government. See my prior market concerning the US government: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/will-the-us-government-implement-un

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if before January 1, 2030:

  • A national government of a state recognized by the United Nations implements a program that provides all citizens with guaranteed access to computing resources (processing power) at no direct cost

The market will resolve NO if:

  • No such program is implemented by January 1, 2030

  • OR if only private actors implement such programs

  • OR if the program requires means-testing or is not universally available to all citizens

Considerations

  • Implementation would require significant regulatory frameworks and funding mechanisms that don't currently exist

  • Technological advancements in cloud computing and edge computing could make implementation more feasible over time

  • Growing concerns about AI job displacement could increase pressure for digital resource access programs

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