Will Manifold think Gemini 3 is a big step forward for AI?
11
Ṁ117Dec 31
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the PERCENTAGE of a poll that opens (roughly) when Gemini 3 is released and is open for a week. The poll will be:
Is Gemini 3 a big step forwards for AI or is it basically the same as the other current top models? (Choose whichever feels closest)
Big step forward
Basically the same
Don't know / see results
Resolution will be to % of first option out of first plus second. Third option will not affect result.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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