Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Tadej Pogačar or Jonas Vingegaard wins Stage 12 of the 2025 Tour de France, scheduled for July 17, 2025. Official results will be verified through reputable sources such as the Tour de France official website and CyclingNews.

Background

Stage 12 is a pivotal mountain stage, spanning approximately 181 kilometers from Auch to a summit finish at Hautacam. The route includes significant climbs: the first-category Col du Soulor (11.8 km at 7.3%) and the hors catégorie Hautacam (13.5 km at 7.8%). (the-independent.com)

As of July 16, 2025, Tadej Pogačar leads the general classification, with Jonas Vingegaard in fourth place, 1 minute and 13 seconds behind. (sport.quotidiano.net)

Considerations

Pogačar and Vingegaard have a history of strong performances on mountain stages. Notably, in the 2022 Tour de France, Vingegaard gained a decisive advantage over Pogačar on the Hautacam climb, contributing to his overall victory. (the-independent.com)

Given the challenging nature of Stage 12 and the current standings, both riders are likely to be key contenders for the stage win.