If Artificial General Intelligence has a poor outcome, what will be the reason?
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Ṁ6312030
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1W
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85%
Someone finds a solution to alignment, but fails to communicate it before dangerous AI gains control.
78%
Something from Eliezer's list of lethalities occurs.
62%
Someone successfully aligns AI to cause a poor outcome
5%
Alignment is impossible.
Inverse of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence-539844cd3ba1?r=S3JhbnR6.
Will not resolve.
Primarily for users to explore particular lethalities.
Please add responses.
"poor" = human extinction or mass human suffering
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