Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mini
5
Ṁ50Feb 1
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Waluigi Effect (mega-post) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Davidad's Bold Plan for Alignment: An In-Dept..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance