Will the same candidate win both Nevada and Arizona in the 2024 presidential election?
5
แน350Nov 5
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if both Nevada and Arizona are won by the same candidate. If the states are won by different candidates, this question will resolve to NO.
The outcome will be based on AP News' announcement of the winners. However, if the results are too close to call, the resolution will wait until the relevant votes are counted. [resolves asap]
This market closes on November 5th at 1:00 PM ET.
Both states are considered nail-biters and are predicted to be close according to polls from FiveThirtyEight (Arizona, Nevada), RCP (Arizona, Nevada), and Manifold:
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