Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
Plus
11
αΉ36502026
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.
Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
35% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
4% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance
Will Russia strike NATO member countries hosting transit bases for Ukrainian military equipment by EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
46% chance
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
13% chance