Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026?
6
แน€1408
2026
92%
Magnus Carlsen
87%
Fabiano Caruana
85%
Hikaru Nakamura
74%
Vincent Keymer
72%
Arjun Erigaisi
69%
Anish Giri
63%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
59%
Wesley So
55%
Gukesh Dommaraju
55%
Wei Yi
52%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
50%
Alireza Firouzja
31%
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov
31%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
28%
Richard Rapport
26%
Leinier Dominguez Perez
26%
Ding Liren
25%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
22%
Viswanathan Anand
19%
Hans Moke Nieman

Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on FIDE's monthly published "Top 100 Players" list for classical chess. The resolution will use the first official FIDE rating list published in 2027.

Each answer resolves YES if that player appears in the top 10 of the FIDE classical ratings at that time, and NO otherwise. Only active players (as per FIDE's definition) will be considered. Check the official FIDE ratings at https://ratings.fide.com

Background

FIDE governs international chess competition and publishes monthly rankings of the top 100 players based on classical time control ratings. The Elo rating system is used.

Considerations

Rankings fluctuate monthly based on classical tournament results. Players may take extended breaks from competition, affecting their rating trajectory.

Answers were seeded with top 20 at market creation. I will bet on this market.

Get แน€1,000 play money