Background
Oregon is the only U.S. state without some form of impeachment powers in its state constitution. In 2023, both the State Senate and State House unanimously voted to refer House Joint Resolution 16 to voters. HJR16 will allow legislators to impeach the State Executive Branch.
See also: Oregon 2024 Election Dashboard
Market Resolution
The market will resolve to one answer based on
If the ballot measure passes or fails
The margin by which it passes or fails
Margin will be determined by the percentage of voters that were for or against the measure.
(Pass or Fail Voters / Total Votes) = Margin
The market will resolve N/A if:
The ballot measure is withdrawn
The market will resolve based on certified results from the Oregon Secretary of State. Market closes on 5 Nov 2024; market resolution may be delayed until data is released. Oregon Law requires that any ballot measure receive an affirmative majority so in case of a 50/50 tie, the measure will have failed. [0]
Related Markets
Disclaimer
I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.