Will Manchester City's probability of winning the premiership exceed 30% as judged by a query to perplexity at EOY2025 that instructs it to look at bookmaker odds?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, as of 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025, a query to Perplexity AI instructing it to look at bookmaker odds indicates that Manchester City's probability of winning the Premier League exceeds 30%. The query should be phrased to retrieve the most recent bookmaker odds available at that time.

Background

As of June 30, 2025, Manchester City is preparing for the 2025/26 Premier League season. Following a third-place finish in the 2024/25 season, where they accumulated 71 points with a record of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, the team is aiming to reclaim the title. Liverpool secured the championship that season, with Arsenal finishing as runners-up. (fr.wikipedia.org)

Bookmakers have released early odds for the upcoming season. Liverpool is currently favored to retain the title, with odds around 15/8, translating to an implied probability of approximately 34.8%. Manchester City follows with odds of 9/4, implying a probability of about 30.8%. Arsenal is also in contention with odds of 5/2, corresponding to an implied probability of 28.6%. (olbg.com)