When will Democrats next win a 3/5ths supermajority in the US Senate?
Mini
4
Ṁ498
2037
1%
2024
2%
2026
11%
2028
11%
2030
11%
2032
11%
2034
40%
2036, or later or never
11%
Other

This market resolves to the year that Democrats win at least 3/5ths of the seats in the US Senate. For the purposes of this market, senators who caucus with Democrats count as Democrats. Therefore, this market will not resolve until it is clear which senators are caucusing with which party.

The other category contains all non-election years in case the appointment or special election of a senator tips the balance.

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