If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start?
Mini
8
แน2892035
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if more than 50 nuclear weapons are used in attacks within 3 years after China invades Taiwan. The nuclear weapons must be used in relation to the China-Taiwan war. The question will resolve N/A if China does not invade Taiwan by 2035.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will China invade Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will Manifold predict it?
71% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?
15% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?
58% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?
76% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
52% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
19% chance