When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Plus
18
แน89602026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
Before 2025-07-01
1%
Before 2025-08-01
1%
Before 2025-09-01
2%
Before 2025-10-01
14%
Before 2026-01-01
37%
Before 2026-04-01
62%
Before 2026-07-01
84%
Before 2026-10-01
90%
Before 2027-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-04-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands it, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be four or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
34% chance
Will there be two or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
87% chance
By when will first Starship be reused?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
5% chance
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
80% chance
Will SpaceX fly a reusable Falcon 9 second stage before 2030?
3% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?