Lake Kivu erupt before 2030?
5
Ṁ15682029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
12% chance
Will Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
10% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 5 or greater before 2035?
51% chance
Will a supervolcano eruption happen by 2100?
8% chance
Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
29% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 6 or greater before 2050?
34% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 7 or greater before 2075?
15% chance
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2025?
62% chance
Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will a Cascade volcano erupt in the next 10 years?
48% chance