MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
Mini
2
Ṁ100
2028
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves in when the Test of Time award is announced in NeurIPS 2027.

️ TechnologyAI
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
+8% 1d42% chance
Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
15% chance
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
14% chance
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
7% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
65% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?

Related questions

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
42% chance
Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
15% chance
Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
14% chance
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
7% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
65% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout