MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
Mini
8
Ṁ353
2032
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves as YES if Russia controls Irkutsk on January 1st 2032

Geopolitics🇷🇺 RussiaIrkutsk
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
28% chance
Will Russia control St Petersburg on Jan 1st 2033?
94% chance
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
31% chance
Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031?
14% chance
Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?
12% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
76% chance
Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?
80% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
66% chance
Will China control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2030?
11% chance
Will Japan control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2032?
38% chance

Related questions

[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
28% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
76% chance
Will Russia control St Petersburg on Jan 1st 2033?
94% chance
Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?
80% chance
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
31% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
66% chance
Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031?
14% chance
Will China control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2030?
11% chance
Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?
12% chance
Will Japan control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2032?
38% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout