If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Mini
13
Ṁ6852028
1D
1W
1M
ALL
42%
<78
17%
78-79
18%
80-81
18%
82-83
4%
84-85
3%
>85
Freedom House scores several aspects of a functioning democracy for each country. Each year they publish a score. The current score for the US (as of the creation of this market) is 83.
https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-states/freedom-world/2024
Clarifications:
1) If the index changes, I will prorate the score.
2) If the index doesn’t exist anymore, market will resolve N/A
3) If Trump doesn’t win, market will resolve N/A
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
39% chance
Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
23% chance
What will be lowest Democracy Index received by the United States during the Trump Presidency?
🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
91% chance
If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
94% chance
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
86% chance
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?
69% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
48% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
50% chance