
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?
Plus
55
Ṁ16kresolved Jul 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Two weeks ago, Nigel Farage returned as leader of Reform UK and said that his party would win over 4 million votes. This seemed like a very bold claim, but Manifold's predictors think that there's a good chance he's right:
/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot
Now Farage has upped the ante and said that Reform UK will win more than 6 million votes!
Will he be proven right? Will there be more than 6,000,000 votes for Reform UK candidates?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ633 | |
2 | Ṁ390 | |
3 | Ṁ369 | |
4 | Ṁ333 | |
5 | Ṁ266 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
42% chance
Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?
15% chance
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
78% chance
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
16% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
-
Will Reform win the next UK election?
15% chance
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 30% or higher in 2025?
52% chance
Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Will a UK party that doesn't yet exist gain over 50k members before the next UK General Election?
10% chance