If both of a pair of states have a plurality of their votes won by the same presidential candidate, they will resolve as "YES", if they are won by different candidates, the entry will resolve as "NO". Ideally this will be interesting to see state collinearity (especially when compared to the base probability).

Add answers! Right now I am limiting the pool of states you can use, to anything between 5%-95% Democratic or Republican in the Manifold political forecast (which will be periodically updated):

• Virginia

• Maine

• Minnesota

• New Hampshire

• Pennsylvania

• Wisconsin

• Michigan

• Arizona

• Georgia

• Nevada

• North Carolina

• Ohio

• Florida

• Texas

• Alaska

• Iowa

Similar State Correlated Error Market: