In April 2025 will my "Circle" think the School of Moral Ambition (started by R. Bregman) is a success?
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7
Ṁ1352025
55%
chance
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A Circle is a group that consists of people going through the material created by the School of Moral Ambition. This group consists of a few people that are striving to be effective altruists, it will resolve on the basis of a poll I will post in our WhatsApp group.
We will use the following criteria for this, but in the end it is a subjective decision:
Does it still exist?
There was no widespread, lasting backlash against the ideas they are promoting? Or some other thing making it potentially net negative?
Have a lot of people really switched careers?
Do people still talk about it?
Was this the best use of time for the organizers?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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