What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Mini
10
Ṁ8022031
1D
1W
1M
ALL
52%
Commonwealth Fusion
28%
Zap Energy
19%
Helion
1%
The National Ignition Facility at Lawrence Livermore National Lab was the first fusion reactor to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven. However, the approach doesn't seem scalable to fusion power generation. Which company or government project will be the next to reach that milestone?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will First Light Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Helion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will Tokamak Energy demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will General Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
2% chance
In which decade will a fusion reactor project first demonstrate engineering breakeven?
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
87% chance
Will Zap Energy demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will TAE demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Helion achieve breakeven deuterium-helium-3 fusion before 2026?
5% chance