Will a real alternative to EUV emerge before 2028?
Mini
3
Ṁ772028
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I read a thing on twitter from Tsmc employee. If a process that seriously competes with EUV comes out, then this resolves. I’ll be fair in judging it.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will China have a domestic EUV maker by 2030?
60% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2027?
70% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
74% chance
Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
20% chance
Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
20% chance
Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?
25% chance
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
75% chance
Will this "new color" find a use in industry before 2026?
8% chance