Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?

Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?

If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?

Will Trump reduce the trade deficit in his first year?

Will Manifold consider the 2020 election “free and fair” at the end of 2025?

Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?

At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?

Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?

What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?