By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?
Mini
6
Ṁ1822036
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
2025
23%
2026
31%
2027
36%
2028
42%
2029
51%
2030
50%
2031
50%
2032
59%
2033
63%
2034
66%
2035
50%
Later or never
Resolves yes based on whether leading news networks refer to what happened as a nationalization or if that language is used by the government.
Also resolves yes if the US government creates a project which becomes the leading AI lab in the country (at the time when it becomes the leading AI lab).
Does not resolve yes if the relationship between the government and labs is only similar to that between the government and military contractors.
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