Will an AI model use more than 1e28 FLOPS in training before 2026?

Will any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?

Will someone from sundai.club get a Nvidia's Project Digits desktop AI supercomputer by EOY2025?

Will compute get a million times more energy efficient by 2075?

Will NVIDIA maintain a >=75% of the Data center market share for at least 4 quarters by the end of 2025?

Will jose luis ricon's brain still calculate 10^24 or more FLOPS in 2040?

Will there be an announcement of a model with a training compute of over 1e30 FLOPs by the end of 2025?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?

Will NVIDIA maintain a >=75% of the Data center market share for at least 8 quarters by the end of 2026?

In 2020, Joe Carlsmith estimated that 10^15 FLOPS is "enough" to perform human functionality. The next post estimating this number will believe it is >=10^15