Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%? | Manifold

Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%?

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https://carado.moe/narrative-explanation-qaci.html

a narrative explanation of the QACI alignment plan

a bunch of people are having a hard time understanding my question-answer counterfactual interval (QACI) alignment proposal, so i'm writing out this post which hopefully explains it better. in this scenario, cindy the human user uses an AI implementing of QACI to save the world.

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Will p(doom) be meaningfully (>3%) affected by alignment researchers choosing to walk rather than run from ptA to ptB?

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Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

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