Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to Richard Dawkins)? | Manifold

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to Richard Dawkins)?

Mini

11

Ṁ1780

2030

2%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), Richard Dawkins confirms that Jesus has returned. Resolves NO otherwise.

May resolve N/A if Richard Dawkins dies and, in my judgement, if he were alive he might confirm that Jesus has returned.

Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39227249

Scott Alexander on Substack

" A low-effort way would have been to base resolution on announcements from the Catholic Pope." I don't know if I trust someone who's pre-selected for being maximally willing to believe miraculous stories involving Jesus. I'd pick Richard Dawkins.

Religion Jesus Christ

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Related questions

Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Conditions for Second Coming of Christ better in 2030 than 2024?

Will Richard Dawkins ever convert to faith?

Will Jesus return before the year 2030?

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Will there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Yudkowsky meets the Pope by 2030?

Related questions

Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?

Will Jesus return before the year 2030?

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Will there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?

Conditions for Second Coming of Christ better in 2030 than 2024?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Will Richard Dawkins ever convert to faith?

Yudkowsky meets the Pope by 2030?