Will Manifold consider the same paper to be the most important paper published in 2024 when polled in 2025 and 2030?
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7
Ṁ1662030
24%
chance
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1W
1M
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Resolves YES if the same paper wins both of these markets.
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
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