Will the Rwanda-DR Congo peace deal scheduled to be signed next week still be actively implemented by December 31, 2025?
4
Ṁ442
Dec 31
33%
NO, not signed, NO not actively implemented by December 31st
36%
YES signed, NO not actively implemented by December 31st
33%
YES signed, and YES actively implemented by December 31st

Will the Rwanda-DR Congo peace deal, scheduled to be signed next week, still be actively implemented by December 31, 2025?

Uncertainty given:

  • The history of failed peace deals between these countries

  • Multiple unresolved critical questions (M23 withdrawal, Rwandan troop presence, FDLR disarmament)

  • The complex web of armed groups and competing interests in the region

The prediction resolves accordingly based on signing and "No" if either country formally withdraws from the agreement within the timeframe.

Updates:

28JUN25 - They signed

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cr795jjrnnlo

Rwanda and DR Congo agree draft peace deal to end conflict
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is expected to witness the formal signing of the peace deal next week.
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