Will GPT-4 (or better) still be publicly available at the end of 2024?
Mini
8
Ṁ214Jan 2
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, on December 31, 2024, OpenAI (or another organization that inherits its IP) is still providing public API access to GPT-4 (or a more powerful LLM). (If the service is down on that day due to a transient technical problem, it still counts.)
Resolves NO if GPT-4 becomes inaccessible before that date due to OpenAI shutting down (without its IP being passed on and used), choosing to withdraw access, or being forced by regulatory/legal action to withdraw access.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released for public usage before January 1st, 2025?
32% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
61% chance
Is GPT-4 best? (Thru 2025)
52% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
77% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?
12% chance
By 2025, will GPT-4 stop being available to the public?
13% chance
Will GPT-4's parameter count be known by end of 2024?
8% chance
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
84% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
87% chance
Will GPT5 be released before the end of Oct 2024?
9% chance