Hinge #5 bet proposed in this post: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/45oxYwysFiqwfKCcN/untitled-draft-keg3

At least one top‑three lab publicly delays a frontier model six or more months for safety reasons. 

The other bets:

#1: https://manifold.markets/rayman2000/nvidias-datacenter-revenue-and-bigt

#2: https://manifold.markets/rayman2000/ai-model-training-time-decreases-fo

#3: https://manifold.markets/rayman2000/revenue-per-deployed-h100-exceeds-1

#4: https://manifold.markets/rayman2000/g7-country-manages-three-years-of-6

Meta-market for majority of the five bets: https://manifold.markets/rayman2000/will-a-majority-of-the-5-hingequest?play=true