MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?
Mini
18
แน€832
2031
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

/strutheo/will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-4d936705f86b

Using same criteria as:

/MetaculusBot/will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas

๏ธ WarsGeopolitics๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ TaiwanChina Taiwan potential conflict
Get แน€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

When will China invade Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
7% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?
31% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
14% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
-4% 1d33% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance

Related questions

When will China invade Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
7% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
33% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?
31% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
14% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout